DOI

Article

Identifying reefs of hope and hopeful actions: Contextualizing environmental, ecological, and social parameters to respond effectively to climate change

McClanahan T.R., Cinner J.E., Graham N.A.J., Daw T.M., Maina J., Stead S.M., Wamukota A., Brown K., Venus V., Polunin N.V.C.


DOI  10.1111/j.1523-1739.2008.01154.x
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Published 2009

Abstract

Priorities for conservation, management, and associated activities will differ based on the interplay between nearness of ecosystems to full recovery from a disturbance (pristineness), susceptibility to climate change (environmental susceptibility [ES]), and capacity of human communities to cope with and adapt to change (social adaptive capacity [AC]). We studied 24 human communities and adjacent coral reef ecosystems in 5 countries of the southwestern Indian Ocean. We used ecological measures of abundance and diversity of fishes and corals, estimated reef pristineness, and conducted socioeconomic household surveys to determine the AC of communities adjacent to selected coral reefs. We also used Web-based oceanographic and coral mortality data to predict each site's ES to climate warming. Coral reefs of Mauritius and eastern Madagascar had low ES and consequently were not predicted to be affected strongly by warm water, although these sites were differentiated by the AC of the human community. The higher AC in Mauritius may increase the chances for successful self-initiated recovery and protective management of reefs of this island. In contrast, Madagascar may require donor support to build AC as a prerequisite to preservation efforts. The Seychelles and Kenya had high ES, but their levels of AC and disturbance differed. The high AC in the Seychelles could be used to develop alternatives to dependence on coral reef resources and reduce the effects of climate change. Pristineness weighted toward measures of fish recovery was greatest for Kenya's marine protected areas; however, most protected areas in the region were far from pristine. Conservation priorities and actions with realistic chances for success require knowledge of where socioecological systems lie among the 3 axes of environment, ecology, and society. © 2009 Society for Conservation Biology.

Keywords:

adaptive management; anthropogenic effect; climate change; climate effect; coral bleaching; coral reef; ecosystem resilience; environmental disturbance; mortality; nature conservation; reef; warm water; Africa; East Africa; Indian Ocean; Indian Ocean islands; Kenya; Seychelles; Sub-Saharan Africa; Anthozoa; Pisces

Full Citation

McClanahan, T.R., Wildlife Conservation Society, Marine Program, Bronx, NY 10460-1099, United States; Cinner, J.E., Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia; Graham, N.A.J., Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia, School of Marine Science and Technology, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, United Kingdom; Daw, T.M., School of Development Studies, University of East Anglia, East Anglia, United Kingdom; Maina, J., International Institute for Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, Enschede, Netherlands, Coral Reef Conservation Project, Mombasa, Kenya; Stead, S.M., School of Marine Science and Technology, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, United Kingdom; Wamukota, A., Coral Reef Conservation Project, Mombasa, Kenya; Brown, K., Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, East Anglia, United Kingdom, School of Development Studies, University of East Anglia, East Anglia, United KingdomSchool of Development Studies, University of East Anglia, East Anglia, United Kingdom, ; Venus, V., International Institute for Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, Enschede, Netherlands; Polunin, N.V.C., School of Marine Science and Technology, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, United Kingdom


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