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Title
Limitations and trade-offs in the use of species distribution maps for protected area planning
Author(s)
Di Marco, Moreno;Watson, James E. M.;Possingham, Hugh P.;Venter, Oscar
Published
2017
Publisher
Journal of Applied Ecology
Published Version DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12771
Abstract
1.Range maps represent the geographic distribution of species, they are commonly used to determine species coverage within protected areas and to find additional places needing protection. However, range maps are characterized by commission errors, where species are thought to be present in locations where they are not. When available, habitat suitability models can reduce commission errors in range maps, but these models are not always available. Adopting a coarse spatial resolution is often seen as an alternative approach for reducing the effect of commission errors, but this comes with poorly explored conservation trade-offs. 2.Here we characterize these trade-offs by identifying scenarios of protected area expansion for the world's threatened terrestrial mammals under different resolutions (10 km to 200 km) and distribution data deriving from range maps and habitat suitability models. 3.We found that planning new protected areas using range maps results in an overestimation of the species protection level if compared to habitat suitability models (which are more closely related to species presence). This overestimation increases when more area is selected for protection and is higher when higher spatial resolutions are employed. 4.Adopting coarse resolutions reduced the overestimation of species protection and also halved the spatial incongruence between protected areas prioritized from range maps or habitat suitability models. However, this came at a very high cost, with an area of up to four times greater (12 M km2 vs. 3 M km2) needed to adequately protect all species. 5.Synthesis and applications. Our findings demonstrate that adopting coarse resolutions in protected area planning results in unsustainable increases in costs, with limited benefits in terms of reducing the effect of commission errors in species range maps. We recommend that, if some level of uncertainty is acceptable to practitioners, using range maps at resolutions of 20–30 km is the best compromise for reducing the effect of commission errors while maintaining cost-efficiency in conservation analyses. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Keywords
commission errors;conservation planning;geographic range;habitat suitability model;IUCN range maps;protected area planning;spatial conservation prioritization;species distribution;spatial resolution;threatened species
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