WCS-AUTHORED PUBLICATIONS, 20-26 January 2025
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citations
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 1 of 7
Carroll, K. A., A. M. Pidgeon, P. Elsen, L. Farwell and V. C. Radeloff (2025). "Biodiversity metric selection and their applications for spatial conservation planning." Diversity and Distributions 31(1), e13952. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13952
Abstract: Aim: On-the-ground conservation efforts require managers to balance various and sometimes conflicting conservation goals. For instance, areas important for conserving threatened and endangered species may have little spatial agreement with high functional redundancy. Using prioritisation tools can further complicate conservation prioritisations if conflicting diversity metrics identify different high-priority areas. We compared five community-level diversity metrics for birds across the conterminous US to identify how much agreement existed between each before and after using a prioritisation framework. Location: Contiguous US. Methods: We examined spatial agreement among metrics before (a priori) and after (a posteriori) prioritisation using integer linear programming. We compared a posteriori outputs for 10% and 30% conservation goals. We also assessed data layer correlation and agreement (i.e., overlap) a priori and a posteriori. Results: As expected, the a priori diversity metrics were poorly to moderately correlated (median = 0.31, range = 0.11–0.71), but all a posteriori solutions had areas of agreement. Accordingly, our a posteriori metrics identified different areas as high priority for conservation, none aligning well with the current protected areas (mean = 13%–15% agreement). However, the a posteriori approach allowed us to include a continuity constraint (identify adjacent important pixels) and easily find areas of high-priority agreement. Main Conclusions: Metric agreement depended on a priori or a posteriori evaluation, highlighting managers' challenges when deciding where and how to enact conservation. Given these challenges, a posteriori solutions best support multiple-objective, complex and large planning conservation problems. Importantly, all of our a posteriori maps agreed in areas, suggesting aggregates of several metrics could instill certainty in decision-making if prioritisation solutions were obtained at different times. Overall, our results underscore the critical importance of generating maps and metrics useful for on-the-ground management, carefully selecting biodiversity metrics that best reflect conservation goals and employing prioritisation software for generating conservation solutions.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 2 of 7
Cooksey, K., J. Funkhouser, C. Sanz, J. Marie Massamba, T. Fabrice Ebombi, P. Teberd, G. Abea, G. Mbebouti, K. Judson, S. Brogan et al. (2025). "The extent of western lowland gorilla social relationships within and between groups." PLoS ONE 20(1), e0316598. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0316598
Abstract: The nature of western lowland gorilla social relationships within and between groups is largely understudied, partly due to the challenges of monitoring associations between individuals who live in neighboring groups. In this study, we examined the social relationships of four western lowland gorilla groups in the Ndoki landscape of northern Republic of Congo. To do so, we compiled all-occurrence social interaction and silverback nearest neighbor social networks from data collected during daily group follows conducted over several years. We observed a total of 5,923 dyadic all-occurrence social interactions (1,350 ± 489 per group, 138 intergroup interactions) and 54,989 dyadic silverback nearest neighbor associations (13,747 ± 3,963 observations per group, 105 nearest neighbor observations of intergroup partners during group scans). For all groups, we found that males were more social than females, younger individuals were more social than older gorillas, and slightly greater rates of social behaviors were observed during periods of higher fruit availability. While there was a considerable amount of interindividual variation in social behavior, the network of social interactions demonstrated a large extent of social relationships within and between groups. Additionally, we performed simulated network removals to assess the impact on social dynamics. Across all groups and the total population, the removal of blackback and immature individuals markedly decreased the number of intra- and intergroup relationships (>60% decrease). The documented extent of western lowland gorilla social relationships has direct implications for the conservation of species with multi-level social dynamics. Gaining clarity on the ways in which western lowland gorilla groups naturally occur in the wild, not only provides a greater understanding for their conservation, but also offers insights for managing their social dynamics within captive environments.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 3 of 7
Jarquín-Díaz, V. H., A. Dayaram, E. S. Soilemetzidou, ..., B. Buuveibaatar, P. Kaczensky, C. Walzer et al. (2025). "Unraveling the distinctive gut microbiome of khulans (Equus hemionus hemionus) in comparison to their drinking water and closely related equids." Scientific Reports 15(1), e2767. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-87216-z
Abstract: The microbial composition of host-associated microbiomes is influenced by co-evolutionary interactions, host genetics, domestication, and the environment. This study investigates the contribution of environmental microbiota from freshwater bodies to the gastrointestinal microbiomes of wild khulans (Equus hemionus hemionus, n = 21) and compares them with those of captive khulans (n = 12) and other equids—Przewalski’s horse (n = 82) and domestic horse (n = 26). Using PacBio technology and the LotuS pipeline for 16S rRNA gene sequencing, we analyze microbial diversity and conduct differential abundance, alpha, and beta diversity analyses. Results indicate limited microbial sharing between wild khulans and their waterhole environments, suggesting minimal environmental influence on their gut microbiomes and low levels of water contamination by khulans. Wild khulans exhibit greater microbial diversity and richness compared to captive ones, likely due to adaptations to the harsh nutritional conditions of the Gobi desert. Conversely, captive khulans show reduced microbial diversity, potentially affected by dietary changes during captivity. These findings highlight the significant impact of environment and lifestyle on the gut microbiomes of equids.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 4 of 7
Mayer, G. B., R. H. A. d. Freitas, P. Charvet, ..., M. C. Palacio, ... and J. M. Cuevas (In Press). "Environmental and spatial modeling of the critically endangered sand tiger shark, Carcharias taurus, in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean." Environmental Biology of Fishes. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10641-025-01670-2
Abstract: The sand tiger shark (Carcharias taurus) is a critically endangered species, whose spatial ecology in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean remains poorly understood. This study is the first regional attempt to elucidate the habitat conditions linked to the distribution and occurrence of this migratory coastal shark, using the largest regional dataset for the Southwest Atlantic. An ensemble of species distribution models was applied to assess various environmental predictors of habitat suitability for C. taurus. Our occurrence data was obtained throughout the species’ distribution range along Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina. These data were compiled mainly from artisanal and recreational fishing records, and are linked to research, reporting efforts and projects. Results indicated that bathymetry, bottom temperature, primary productivity, and salinity were important environmental factors linked to the species occurrence and suitable habitats. These factors were mainly associated with coastal and estuarine habitats. Areas with high suitability for C. taurus were identified in Northern Argentina, the entirety of the La Plata River estuarine mouth and extended shelf, between Uruguay and Southern Brazil, and Southeast Brazil, indicating these subregions as priority areas for the species’ conservation. Ensemble forecasting projections showed a habitat suitability retraction in colder months for southern latitudes. Our study also gathered novel insights on the species' biology and occurrence from unpublished data.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 5 of 7
Saggese, M. D., S. L. Deem, H. Ferreyra, ... and M. M. Uhart (2025). "Health assessment of three species of free-living raptors inhabiting a pampas agroecosystem in Central Argentina." Journal of Raptor Research 59(1), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.3356/jrr2425
Abstract: The Pampas Grasslands ecoregion of central Argentina has been dramatically transformed since the arrival of agriculture in the late 18th century. Currently, <10% of this ecosystem remains in its native state and <1% is protected. At least 14 species of Accipitriformes, four Falconiformes, and four Strigiformes are found in the Pampas agroecosystems. We investigated the health status of three raptor species inhabiting the Pampas agroecosystems of Melincué, Santa Fe province, central Argentina: 13 Roadside Hawks (Rupornis magnirostris), 17 Chimango Caracaras (Milvago chimango), and 21 Burrowing Owls (Athene cunicularia). Our goal was to assess the physical condition and the prevalence of exposure to parasites and common avian pathogens of free-living raptors. All birds were caught with bal-chatri traps and were in good body condition except two Burrowing Owls. All three species exhibited a low prevalence of exposure for Salmonella Pullorum/Gallinarum, Mycoplasma gallisepticum, Mycoplasma synoviae, Bacillus anthracis, and Chlamydia spp. Prevalence of chewing lice (Mallophaga) was 28.6% for Burrowing Owls and 5.9% for Chimango Caracara. Hemoparasites (Haemoproteus spp.) were found only in Chimango Caracaras, with a prevalence of 21.4%. Based on physical findings, low prevalence of exposure to common avian pathogens, and hematology and biochemistry results within normal limits based on published literature, raptors in our study appeared to be in overall good health condition in 2000–2001. Although not exempt from being exposed to some pathogenic and non-pathogenic microorganisms, our results support the hypothesis that, in Pampas agroecosystems, these raptor species have a relatively low exposure to common avian pathogens and this could contribute to their success in these modified habitats. Given this dataset is now more than two decades old, we recommend follow-up studies to re-evaluate the health status of these and other raptor species currently inhabiting the Pampas agroecosystems of central Argentina. / La ecorregión de los pastizales pampeanos del centro de Argentina ha sido transformada drásticamente desde la llegada de la agricultura a fines del siglo XVIII. Actualmente, menos del 10% de este ecosistema permanece en su estado nativo y menos del 1% está protegido. Al menos 14 especies de Accipitriformes, cuatro especies de Falconiformes y cuatro especies de Estrigiformes se encuentran actualmente en los agroecosistemas pampeanos. Investigamos el estado de salud de tres especies de rapaces que habitan en los agroecosistemas pampeanos de Melincué, provincia de Santa Fe, centro de Argentina: 13 Rupornis magnirostris, 17 Milvago chimango y 21 Athene cunicularia. Nuestro objetivo fue evaluar la condición física y la prevalencia de exposición a parásitos y patógenos aviares comunes de rapaces de vida libre. Todas las aves fueron capturadas con trampas bal-chatri y estaban en buena condición física, excepto por dos Athene cunicularia. Las tres especies exhibieron una baja prevalencia de exposición a Salmonella Pullorum/Gallinarum, Mycoplasma gallisepticum, Mycoplasma synoviae, Bacillus anthracis y Chlamydia spp. La prevalencia de piojos masticadores (Mallophaga) fue del 28,6% para Athene cunicularia y del 5,9% para Milvago chimango. Solo se encontró hemoparásitos (Haemoproteus spp.) en Milvago chimango, con una prevalencia del 21,4%. Sobre la base de los hallazgos físicos, la baja prevalencia de exposición a patógenos aviares comunes y los resultados de hematología y bioquímica dentro de los límites normales, basados en la literatura publicada, las aves rapaces de nuestro estudio parecían estar en buenas condiciones de salud en 2000–2001. Aunque no estuvieron exentas de estar expuestos a algunos microorganismos patógenos y no patógenos, nuestros resultados apoyan la hipótesis de que en los agroecosistemas pampeanos estas especies de rapaces tienen una exposición relativamente baja a patógenos aviares comunes. Eso podría contribuir a su éxito en estos hábitats modificados. Dado que este conjunto de datos tiene más de dos décadas de antigüedad, recomendamos realizar estudios de seguimiento para reevaluar el estado de salud de estas y otras especies de aves rapaces que actualmente habitan en los agroecosistemas pampeanos del centro de Argentina.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 6 of 7
Turcios-Casco, M. A., E. Scott, B. Vásquez, ... and B. P. Padilla (In Press). "Renewed hope: Indigenous knowledge and practices protect a vulnerable salamander in southern Muskitia, Honduras." Biodiversity. https://doi.org/10.1080/14888386.2025.2451054
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 7 of 7
von Holdt, B. M., D. T. Blumstein, J. Berger and C. Carroll (In Press). "Species recovery as a half empty process: The case against ignoring social ecology for gray wolf recovery." BioScience, biae134. https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biae134
Abstract: The criteria used to assess recovery under the US Endangered Species Act (ESA) often fall short when considering social, group-living species. To illustrate this, we use recent insights on sociality in gray wolves to highlight how such definitional failures in implementing the ESA limit the efficacy of recovery efforts for species with complex societal arrays. The loss of conspecifics in social species has an enhanced impact on demographic viability that is not captured by estimates of population abundance. The reproductive skew in social species reduces effective population size and exacerbates threats to genetic health of populations. For group-living species such as wolves, it is critical that regulations consider sociality in recovery guidelines. Biological processes that include social behavior and group structure need to be more fully considered for the ESA to effectively reflect biological reality. Until regulations and policy include language that incorporates these considerations, the species we try to protect will lose.
Grey Literature Citations
Grey Literature Citation 1 of 5
Goessens, A., Y. Murillo, S. Fumey, N. Doak, A. Madope, J. Guernier, C. Plowman, J. Weatherly-Singh, M. Wieland, S. Raj, P. Wallace and S. Roberton (2024). Implementing EU Support to Tackle Wildlife Trafficking: Examples from the Field. Brussels: Wildlife Conservation Society. https://library.wcs.org/en-us/Scientific-Research/Research-Publications/Publications-Library/ctl/view/mid/40093/pubid/DMX5137300000.aspx
Grey Literature Citation 2 of 5
Gutiérrez-Chacón, C., J. J. Mueses-Cisneros, A. F. Carvalho and V. H. González (2025). Marco Regulatorio para la Meliponicultura en Latinoamérica: Aspectos Clave y Extractos Relevantes. Wildlife Conservation Society. https://doi.org/10.19121/2025.Report.51384
Abstract: La cría de abejas nativas sin aguijón, conocida como meliponicultura, es una práctica antigua en las Américas que ha crecido en popularidad. Tiene varios propósitos, como educación, investigación y la obtención de productos como miel y polen. Existen alrededor de 500 especies de estas abejas en todo el mundo, siendo más comunes en las regiones tropicales. El aumento en la meliponicultura se debe a la conservación de la biodiversidad y la demanda de productos. Sin embargo, también hay preocupaciones sobre riesgos para las abejas y ecosistemas. La regulación de esta actividad depende de las leyes locales, aunque muchos países carecen de normativas específicas. Este documento tiene como objetivos recopilar normativas existentes en Latinoamérica y ofrecer reflexiones sobre regulaciones.
Grey Literature Citation 3 of 5
Lovett, K., C. Hallyburton, J. L. Richard and J. Andrews (2024). Robust Black Spider Monkey (Ateles fusciceps rufiventris) and Mexican Spider Monkey (Ateles geoffroyi vellerosus) AZA Species Survival Plan Signature Programs Population and Breeding and Transfer Plan. Chicago, IL: AZA Population Management Center. https://library.wcs.org/en-us/Scientific-Research/Research-Publications/Publications-Library/ctl/view/mid/40093/pubid/DMX5139000000.aspx
Grey Literature Citation 4 of 5
van Vliet, N., J. E. Fa, H. Vanthomme, ..., F. Sandrin et al. (2025). Community-based monitoring in the context of sustainable wildlife management and biodiversity conservation in tropical countries. Rome: FAO, CIFOR-ICRAF, CIRAD and Wildlife Conservation Society. https://doi.org/10.4060/cd3214en
Abstract: This document is addressed to communities and their partners, and features eight main key lessons learned that emerge from the implementation of community-based monitoring in the context of wildlife management and biodiversity conservation, across 15 countries in Africa, the Guyana Shield and the Pacific Region in which the Sustainable Wildlife Management Programme is implemented. The examples involve diverse forms of community-based monitoring and include different ecosystems (forests, savannahs, wetlands) and taxonomic groups (birds, mammals, reptiles, amphibians and fish). We further provide a more focused description of five case studies, including the multitaxa community-based monitoring process implemented by community wildlife and fisheries committees in the Rupununi (Guyana), the human-wildlife coexistence monitoring programme implemented by communities in Mucheni Community Conservancy (Zimbabwe), the co-managed monitoring system implemented for sustainable hunting around Lastoursville (Gabon), and the citizen science process implemented in communities around the Dja Reserve (Cameroon) to monitor and alert emergence of zoonotic diseases and the community-based monitoring system implemented in Namibia in the context of community-based conservancies (Namibia).
Grey Literature Citation 5 of 5
Villalba, L., F. Bauer, B. Ortiz and Y. Ramos (2024). Identificación de Señales de Ataques de Carnívoros. Asuncion, Paraguay: Wildlife Conservation Society, Paraguay. https://library.wcs.org/en-us/Scientific-Research/Research-Publications/Publications-Library/ctl/view/mid/40093/pubid/DMX5138700000.aspx
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WCS-AUTHORED PUBLICATIONS, 13-19 January 2025
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citations
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 1 of 6
Funkhouser, J. A., H. Boostrom, H. Hellmuth, ..., W. Mayoukou, S. Ndassoba, C. Singono, C. Abedine, C. E. Ayina, ... and C. Sanz (2025). "Chimpanzee activity and behavioral diversity extends across 24 hours in both captive and wild settings." American Journal of Primatology 87(1), e23729. https://doi.org/10.1002/ajp.23729
Abstract: Studying nocturnal behavior is crucial for understanding the full scope of a species' behavioral flexibility so as to inform the conservation of wild populations and the care of captive individuals. However, this aspect of primate behavior is understudied, especially in great apes, which exhibit some of the widest documented behavioral diversity and flexibility. Our investigation is among the first to systematically compare the 24 h activity patterns and behavioral activities of captive chimpanzees (Saint Louis Zoo, USA) with those of wild chimpanzees (three sites across the Nouabalé-Ndoki National Park in the Republic of Congo) and a published data set of the nocturnal behavior of all chimpanzee subspecies. Furthermore, we examined the influence of human activity and changes to the group's composition on the activity patterns and nocturnal behaviors of the zoo-living chimpanzees. Our results reveal that the zoo-living chimpanzees exhibit significantly different activity patterns compared to their wild counterparts, with increased nocturnal activity (particularly in the early morning) and more observations of feeding and social behaviors at night. Additionally, the absence of human visitors and a change in the group's composition were found to influence these activity patterns. These findings underscore the importance of integrating more holistic approaches to captive primate care and wild primate conservation. This study also highlights the immense potential of implementing remote monitoring technology, such as video camera traps, across contexts. Such data that extend across contexts benefit not only the captive and wild great apes but also provide opportunities for caregivers, conservation managers, and students who are involved in these collaborative initiatives.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 2 of 6
González-Maya, J. F., C. H. Cáceres-Martínez, A. Acevedo Rincón and I. Mauricio Vela-Vargas (2025). "A true highlander hermit: Human density and distance to natural cover negatively affect habitat selection by Andean bear." Journal for Nature Conservation 84, e126833. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnc.2025.126833
Abstract: Andean bear (Tremarctos ornatus) is the largest mammal species of the Tropical Andes, although in Colombia, information about habitat selection of the species is scarce. Here we present the first systematic effort for understanding Andean bear landscape selection in Tamá Massif between Venezuela and Colombia. Our study aimed to understand how Andean bears select certain habitat types and the influence of human and landscape variables over use probabilities in a mixed natural-intervened matrix. Between June 2012 and May 2015, we surveyed the Colombian side of the Tamá Massif, around Tamá National Natural Park (TNNP), using repeated line transects inside and outside of the TNNP. Distance to towns and roads, human density, distance to natural covers, distance to protected areas, distance to rivers, and elevation, explained site selection. Both elevation and human density were the most important variables, affecting positively (higher elevations) and negatively (higher human density) bear presence, respectively. Our results highlight that Paramo habitats are selected over other types of ecosystems for the species. Our resource selection approach provides clues on how bears use space and serves as the basis for long-term monitoring to understand what cues drive Andean bears to select habitats, bringing new tools for the management of the species in Colombia and Venezuela.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 3 of 6
Heilpern, S. A., A. S. Flecker, S. López-Casas, P. B. McIntyre, L. Moya et al. (2025). "Accessible, low-mercury, and nutritious fishes provide win-wins for conservation and public health." One Earth 8(1), e101174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.12.010
Abstract: Fisheries nourish billions globally, but overfishing and mercury contamination threaten aquatic biodiversity and public health. These benefits and risks of fish consumption are often siloed in consumer advisories, which tend to emphasize the risks of mercury exposure and could lead to adverse public health consequences in fisheries-dependent geographies where other nutritionally adequate foods are inaccessible. Here, we use nutrient and mercury content, price, and abundance information for 59 fishery species from the Amazon River and find that many nutrient-rich species also have low mercury content, are common, and have ecological traits conferring resilience to overexploitation. These species include many small and low-trophic-positioned species, including a diversity of characins that are common in markets across the region but not generally highly valued by consumers. Ultimately, considering these benefits and risks of fish consumption together offers promise for aligning biodiversity conservation goals within wild food systems.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 4 of 6
Stacy, E. M., M. D. Robards, T. S. Jung et al. (In Press). "Comparing microsatellites and single nucleotide polymorphisms to evaluate genetic structure and diversity in wolverines (Gulo gulo) across Alaska and western Canada." Journal of Mammalogy, gyae151. https://doi.org/10.1093/jmammal/gyae151
Abstract: The Wolverine (Gulo gulo) is a cold-adapted species of conservation interest because it is sensitive to human development, disturbance, exploitation, and climate warming. Wolverine populations have been studied across much of their distributional range to evaluate patterns of genetic diversity, genetic structure, and gene flow. Little population structure has been detected in northwestern North America with microsatellite loci, but low genomic diversity in wolverines may limit detection of genetic differences in this highly vagile species. Here, we genotyped a relatively large sample of wolverines from across Alaska (US) and adjacent Yukon (Canada) with 12 microsatellite loci (n = 501) and 4,222 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs; n = 201) identified using restriction-site associated DNA sequencing. We compared the relative ability of our microsatellite and SNP datasets to evaluate population genetic structure, genetic diversity, differentiation, and isolation by distance (IBD). We predicted that the SNP dataset would detect a higher degree of genetic structure and provide more significant support for IBD. We found evidence for multiple genetic clusters, including genetic distinctiveness of wolverines in southeast Alaska and on the Kenai Peninsula. The SNP dataset detected additional genetic clusters that align largely with ecoregions, and the SNP dataset showed stronger evidence of IBD, while the 2 datasets were generally consistent in estimates of genetic diversity and differentiation among regional groups. Our results highlight the importance of genomic methods to assess gene flow in wolverines. Identifying population genetic structure allows an assessment of the potential impacts of conservation threats and is an important precursor for designing population monitoring programs.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 5 of 6
Thomas, A. S., S. Mangubhai, K. C. Radway, M. Fox, S. D. Jupiter, W. Lalavanua et al. (In Press). "Impact of severe tropical Cyclone Winston on fisheries-dependent communities in Fiji." Environmental Development, e101137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2025.101137
Abstract: Coastal communities in the south Pacific are vulnerable to cyclones which are projected to increase in intensity due to climate change. We conducted a study 2‒3 months after a Category 5 tropical cyclone passed through Fiji in 2016 to examine socio-economic impacts from the cyclone and the changes to livelihood strategies of fisheries-dependent communities. Key informant interviews were done in 154 Indigenous Fijian (iTaukei) coastal villages across six provinces. Questions focused on changes to participation in and rankings of different fisheries and livelihoods, as well as dietary changes and impacts to fishing gear and infrastructure. We found that the affected villages had not returned to many of their pre-cyclone livelihoods, and many villages had stopped fishing altogether. Instead, in the short-term communities coped through livelihood reprioritisation, and a high reliance on external aid (e.g. food packages). The heterogeneity of livelihood strategies, the diversity of species targeted and lack of specialised gear requirements suggested many fisheries can serve as a buffer to natural hazards and external shocks for vulnerable coastal communities. Gender also had an influence on the experienced effects of Cyclone Winston and coping strategies. Women had fewer changes to their fisheries activities post-cyclone and were less likely to have stopped fishing at the time of the survey, as they harvest from a wider diversity of habitats, glean and use low technology gear such as hand nets, and hooks and lines. Understanding how communities are impacted by intense cyclones through a gender lens can help local people better prepare for and mitigate impacts to their livelihoods, while also providing valuable information to assist authorities with their disaster preparedness, response, and recovery strategies.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 6 of 6
Zhu, Y., J. A. Britnell, J. Shi, B. Buuveibaatar and S. Shultz (2025). "Anthropogenic pressures lead to different patterns of niche contraction and protected area cover in three species Procapra gazelles on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Mongolia." Diversity and Distributions 31(1), e13949. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13949
Abstract: Aim: Anthropogenic threats often lead to range contraction towards the margins of a species historic niche, resulting in increased extinction risk. Here, we investigate niche characteristics of current and historic populations to evaluate changes in ‘Area of Niche’ (AON) following range loss from different levels of anthropogenic threats three congeneric Asian gazelle species are facing: Przewalski's (Procapra przewalskii), Tibetan (P. picticaudata) and Mongolian gazelles (P. gutturosa). Location: Tibet, Qinghai and Mongolia. Methods: We collated range maps for historic and contemporary distributions of Przewalski's, Tibetan and Mongolian gazelles and created 3-dimensional hypervolume and convex hull niche models using environmental variables from the Worldclim dataset (v2) together with topographic information from SRTM elevation data from historic and contemporary Area of Habitat maps and evaluated changes over time. We calculated Area of Niche (AON) maps by projecting a scaled Mahalanobis distance from the historic niche centroid of each grid cell onto each species' historic range. Finally, we evaluated how the protected area network overlaps with historic niche characteristics. Results: The endangered Przewalski's gazelle has lost almost all its range and niche, with remaining populations at niche peripheries. In contrast, the near-threatened Tibetan and least-concern Mongolian gazelles have lost less range and niche and contracted towards their historic niche centre. Protected areas for each species were biased towards the ecological margins of their historic ranges, which can result in sub-optimal conservation strategies. Main Conclusions: This study uses niche modelling to evaluate changes in Area of Niche (AON) occupied by a species that has undergone range contraction. We highlight that species most affected by anthropogenic threats are most vulnerable to niche shift and contraction. These species are also vulnerable to a mismatch between the protected area network and species historic niche space. We advocate that conservation strategies should include niche dynamics as an indicator of the species risk.
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WCS-AUTHORED PUBLICATIONS, 6-12 January 2025
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citations
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 1 of 8
Balza, U., N. A. Lois, K. J. Harrington, ..., A. Raya-Rey and S. G. Ceballos (Early View). "Glacial history and ecological restrictions shape island-scale genetic structure and demography in the southernmost bird of prey." Journal of Biogeography. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.15083
Abstract: Aim: To understand the influence of Andean uplifts and glacial cycles on South American biodiversity, we delve into the population genetics and evolutionary history of a unique subantarctic island raptor specialised in exploiting marine food webs. Location: Islands in Tierra del Fuego and Malvinas/Falklands. Time period: Last glacial period to the present. Taxon: Phalcoboenus australis. Methods: We used RAD sequencing to assess genetic diversity, population structure and to model demographic history through descriptive and hypothesis-based evolutionary methods. Results: We found evidence of two independent lineages: one inhabiting the Fuegian archipelago and the other one occurring in the Islas Malvinas/Falkland Islands, with the latter presenting higher genetic diversity and evidence of finer-scale population structure. The best supported demographic scenario places the divergence time of these lineages during the last glacial period (ca. 50,000 years ago), with the occurrence of gene flow during the first 27,000 years after their divergence. Recent demographic modelling supports the general pattern of increasing genetic variability as landmasses were uncovered following the glacial period (i.e., the Fuegian archipelago) in contrast with a decrease in genetic diversity associated to island fragmentation (i.e., in the Islas Malvinas/Falkland Islands). Main Conclusions: We propose that post-glacial sea level rise and the subsequent isolation across the submerging Patagonian Shelf have driven population fragmentation and recent genetic structure in this species. Our findings advocate for recognising the two identified divergent lineages as distinct conservation units. We highlight the intricate interplay of ecological factors, glacial cycles and population dynamics in shaping the evolutionary trajectory of this unique and threatened raptor species in southern South America.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 2 of 8
Ingram, D. J., G. Z. L. Froese, D. Carroll, P. C. Bürkner, F. Maisels, ..., H. G. Ekodeck, C. A. Emogor, ..., G. D. Ngohouani, F. Sandrin, ..., L. Vanegas et al. (In Press). "Regional patterns of wild animal hunting in African tropical forests." Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01494-5
Abstract: Wildlife contributes to the diets, livelihoods and socio-cultural activities of people worldwide; however, unsustainable hunting is a major pressure on wildlife. Regional assessments of the factors associated with hunting offtakes are needed to understand the scale and patterns of wildlife exploitation relevant for policy. We synthesized 83 studies across West and Central Africa to identify the factors associated with variation in offtake. Our models suggest that offtake per hunter per day is greater for hunters who sell a greater proportion of their offtake; among non-hunter-gatherers; and in areas that have better forest condition, are closer to protected areas and are less accessible from towns. We present evidence that trade and gun hunting have increased since 1991 and that areas more accessible from towns and with worse forest condition may be depleted of larger-bodied wildlife. Given the complex factors associated with regional hunting patterns, context-specific hunting management is key to achieving a sustainable future.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 3 of 8
Knowles, T., N. Stevens, E. E. Amoako, ..., L. Dziba et al. (In Press). "Viability and desirability of financing conservation in Africa through fire management." Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01490-9
Abstract: Adopting early dry season fires in African conservation areas has been proposed as ecologically desired and a means of generating sufficient carbon revenues for their management. We interrogate available peer-reviewed information on the ecology and biogeochemistry of fire in Africa to offer an informed perspective on the full implications of the proposal. We conclude that there is insufficient evidence that a shift to early dry season fires will reduce greenhouse gas emissions, that resultant biodiversity and ecosystem service outcomes may not be desired, and that adopting a single burning regime limits the use of fire to achieve a diverse range of goals.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 4 of 8
Mast, A., D. Gill, G. N. Ahmadia, E. S. Darling et al. (2025). "Shared governance increases marine protected area effectiveness." PLoS ONE 20(1), e0315896. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315896
Abstract: Marine protected areas (MPAs) are widely used to conserve and manage coastal resources. Protected areas are governed by a variety of institutional arrangements, yet little is known concerning the relative performance of different governance approaches. This research draws upon a unique dataset that combines details on the reported International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) governance categories of 217 global MPAs and their ecological outcomes to compare the performance of alternative governance arrangements. We find that MPAs with shared governance arrangements, where management authority is shared among multiple government and non-government actors, are 98% more likely to have higher fish biomass than MPAs governed by state agencies (i.e., primarily government) alone (mean effect size and 95% C.I = 0.32 ± 0.31). We also find higher biomass in older MPAs, those in countries with higher gross domestic product (GDP), and those with a higher proportion of no-take area. With targets to protect 30% of our oceans driving new commitments to expand MPA coverage globally, our results suggest that multi-stakeholder participation and collaboration facilitated by shared and decentralized governance arrangements can play an important role in achieving conservation outcomes.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 5 of 8
Sadovy de Mitcheson, Y., A. Batibasaga, C. E. R. Hatten and S. Mangubhai (Early View). "From local knowledge and science to policy: Lessons learned from Fiji's valuable grouper fisheries." Journal of Fish Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfb.16041
Abstract: Pacific Island communities are heavily dependent on fisheries for subsistence and livelihoods. Yet, despite their importance, coastal fisheries are poorly managed and commercial pressures increasingly threaten them. Groupers (Epinephelidae) are exceptionally vulnerable to overexploitation due to aspects of their biology while their economic value makes them a prime target for commerce. Fiji has a significant grouper fishery and is a useful case study to assess a data-poor, economically valuable sector to evaluate management measures, options, and needs. Data from multiple sources over three decades were integrated with original research involving fisher interviews, market surveys, stock assessments, and underwater census to assess the status of the country's grouper fishery. Catch rates are declining and trade now includes a high percentage of immature groupers, with aggregating species (mainly Epinephelus polyphekadion, Epinephelus fuscoguttatus, Plectropomus areolatus, Plectropomus leopardus) particularly at risk. Estimated annual grouper landings are increasing and now exceed 1000 mt. There is an urgent need to update Fiji's grouper size limits which are grossly inadequate. To build public support and increase awareness, government and nongovernmental organizations should invest in the national 4FJ Fish Smart campaign. Key management recommendations for groupers are (1) improved spatial and temporal protection of spawning aggregations and (2) increased minimum-size restrictions for capture and sale. Findings apply broadly to valuable and vulnerable coastal fin-fisheries in reef ecosystems across many Pacific Island countries and highlight the importance of using multiple data sources and approaches to understand and manage important data-poor fisheries.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 6 of 8
Sayre, R., C. Frye, S. Breyer, P. R. Roehrdanz, P. R. Elsen et al. (2025). "Potential 2050 distributions of World Terrestrial Ecosystems from projections of changes in World Climate Regions and Global Land Cover." Global Ecology and Conservation 57, e03370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2024.e03370
Abstract: The urgency to address ecosystem loss is paramount, as both land use change and climate change will continue to rapidly alter and degrade natural ecosystems and reduce the many services they provide. To support conservation actions that mitigate impacts from these dual threats, we have developed potential World Terrestrial Ecosystem (WTE) distributions for 2050 following IPCC best practice guidelines. This projection of ecosystem distributions builds on the previously released 2015 WTEs, a snapshot of the distribution and conservation status of 431 terrestrial ecosystem types defined as distinct combinations of 18 global climate regions, 4 global landform classes, and 8 global vegetation/land cover classes. Extending that work herein, we modeled the potential 2050 WTE distributions based on projections of five CMIP6 general circulation models (GCMs) and one global land cover change model, determined for three shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios. The climate region modeling included projections for 2050 for both mean annual temperature and mean annual aridity. Model agreement for changes to WTEs was generally high, particularly for temperature projections. Widespread changes in ecosystem classes due to shifts in climate settings and/or land cover between 2015 and 2050 were projected, with both the magnitude and specific geography of projected change largely governed by the SSP scenario. For the three SSP scenarios (sustainable development, regional rivalry, and fossil-fueled development), geographic changes in climate setting (temperature, aridity, or both) and/or changes in vegetation/land cover are projected for 29 %, 36 %, and 39 % of Earth’s terrestrial surface, respectively. These changes occur in areas where 31 %, 36 %, and 41 % of the global population lives. Projected changes in ecosystem distributions related to temperature change are approximately an order of magnitude greater than for aridity change. By offering insight into potential ecosystem changes, this new resource is intended to facilitate conservation planning and priority setting aimed at improved conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 7 of 8
Shivakumar, S., V. Athreya, N. Yardi et al. (In Press). "Charting risk pathways of leopard attacks on people: A decision tree approach." Human Dimensions of Wildlife. https://doi.org/10.1080/10871209.2024.2449420
Abstract: The often-under-researched aspect of human-wildlife conflict (HWC) is the socio-cultural factors affecting a community’s experience of HWC. In this study, we examine the risk of leopard attacks in North India where ~ 3 fatal leopard attacks occur on people per year. We used a mixed method approach to weigh the risks of a person experiencing a leopard attack in Himachal Pradesh (HP) across parallel scenarios by (a) calculating the most probable pathway of experiencing a high-impact (death/grievous injury) outcome due to leopard attacks (b) documenting perception of leopard attacks. In HP, 344 people experienced leopard attacks and most attacks (75%) were non-predatory. Few (12%) attacks on adolescents (<15 years) were predatory. We found mentions of intangible impacts in more than half of the interviews. This mixed method analysis, grounded on local voices of experience, could be utilized by researchers and managers to navigate complex scenarios in human-carnivore shared spaces.
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 8 of 8
Wang, X., G. Bocksberger, M. Arandjelovic, ..., C. Cipoletta, ..., E. Dilambaka, ..., A. Dunn, ..., I. Imong, ..., F. Mulindahabi, ..., P. Niyigaba, ..., C. Sanz et al. (2024). "Strontium isoscape of sub-Saharan Africa allows tracing origins of victims of the transatlantic slave trade." Nature Communications 15(1), e10891. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55256-0
Abstract: Strontium isotope (87Sr/86Sr) analysis with reference to strontium isotope landscapes (Sr isoscapes) allows reconstructing mobility and migration in archaeology, ecology, and forensics. However, despite the vast potential of research involving 87Sr/86Sr analysis particularly in Africa, Sr isoscapes remain unavailable for the largest parts of the continent. Here, we measure the 87Sr/86Sr ratios in 778 environmental samples from 24 African countries and combine this data with published data to model a bioavailable Sr isoscape for sub-Saharan Africa using random forest regression. We demonstrate the efficacy of this Sr isoscape, in combination with other lines of evidence, to trace the African roots of individuals from historic slavery contexts, particularly those with highly radiogenic 87Sr/86Sr ratios uncommon in the African Diaspora. Our study provides an extensive African 87Sr/86Sr dataset which includes scientifically marginalized regions of Africa, with significant implications for the archaeology of the transatlantic slave trade, wildlife ecology, conservation, and forensics.
Grey Literature
Grey Literature Citations 1 of 2
da Silva Loayza, M., D. E. Maldonado Velarde, M. Viscarra and C. Flores Turdera (2024). Felinos de Bolivia. Segunda edición. La Paz, Bolivia: Wildlife Conservation Society, Bolivia. https://library.wcs.org/en-us/Scientific-Research/Research-Publications/Publications-Library/ctl/view/mid/40093/pubid/DMX5125700000.aspx
Grey Literature Citations 2 of 2
Wildlife Conservation Society (2024). Reporte de Noticias Sobre el Comercio Ilegal de Fauna Silvestre en Colombia, Ecuador, Perú, Bolivia y Brasil (Estados Acre y Amazonas). Enero de 2020 a Junio de 2023. Programa Contra el Tráfico de Vida Silvestre (CTVS) and Wildlife Conservation Society, Andes-Amazonía-Orinoquía (AAO). https://library.wcs.org/en-us/Scientific-Research/Research-Publications/Publications-Library/ctl/view/mid/40093/pubid/DMX5123300000.aspx
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WCS-AUTHORED PUBLICATIONS, 30 December 2024-5 January 2025
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citations
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 1 of 2
Lizcano, D. J. (2024). "[Book Review] A Field Guide to the Larger Mammals of South America / Una Guía de Campo de los Mamíferos Grandes de América del Sur." Mammalogy Notes 10(2), e495. https://doi.org/10.47603/mano.v10n2.495
Peer-Reviewed Literature Citation 2 of 2
Tsang, T. P. N., A. A. A. De Santis, G. Armas-Quiñonez, ..., C. Gutiérrez-Chacón et al. (2025). "Land use change consistently reduces α- but not β- and γ-diversity of bees." Global Change Biology 31(1), e70006. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70006
Abstract: Land use change threatens global biodiversity and compromises ecosystem functions, including pollination and food production. Reduced taxonomic α-diversity is often reported under land use change, yet the impacts could be different at larger spatial scales (i.e., γ-diversity), either due to reduced β-diversity amplifying diversity loss or increased β-diversity dampening diversity loss. Additionally, studies often focus on taxonomic diversity, while other important biodiversity components, including phylogenetic diversity, can exhibit differential responses. Here, we evaluated how agricultural and urban land use alters the taxonomic and phylogenetic α-, β-, and γ-diversity of an important pollinator taxon—bees. Using a multicontinental dataset of 3117 bee assemblages from 157 studies, we found that taxonomic α-diversity was reduced by 16%–18% in both agricultural and urban habitats relative to natural habitats. Phylogenetic α-diversity was decreased by 11%–12% in agricultural and urban habitats. Compared with natural habitats, taxonomic and phylogenetic β-diversity increased by 11% and 6% in urban habitats, respectively, but exhibited no systematic change in agricultural habitats. We detected a 22% decline in taxonomic γ-diversity and a 17% decline in phylogenetic γ-diversity in agricultural habitats, but γ-diversity of urban habitats was not significantly different from natural habitats. These findings highlight the threat of agricultural expansions to large-scale bee diversity due to systematic γ-diversity decline. In addition, while both urbanization and agriculture lead to consistent declines in α-diversity, their impacts on β- or γ-diversity vary, highlighting the need to study the effects of land use change at multiple scales.
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